| rank | prob of top 3 finish | prob of bottom 17 finish | driver name | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5 | 0.995088 | 0.004912 | Max Verstappen |
| 1 | 7 | 0.945123 | 0.054877 | Sergio Perez |
| 2 | 11 | 0.630317 | 0.369683 | Charles Leclerc |
| 3 | 20 | 0.425242 | 0.574758 | Lando Norris |
| 4 | 1 | 0.331598 | 0.668402 | George Russell |
| 5 | 3 | 0.324426 | 0.675574 | Carlos Sainz |
| 6 | 4 | 0.160445 | 0.839555 | Lewis Hamilton |
| 7 | 18 | 0.140453 | 0.859547 | Fernando Alonso |
| 8 | 2 | 0.136502 | 0.863498 | Oscar Piastri |
| 9 | 14 | 0.104002 | 0.895998 | Yuki Tsunoda |
| 10 | 13 | 0.075551 | 0.924449 | Lance Stroll |
| 11 | 6 | 0.068050 | 0.931950 | Nico Hulkenberg |
| 12 | 9 | 0.055297 | 0.944703 | Daniel Ricciardo |
| 13 | 10 | 0.044235 | 0.955765 | Pierre Gasly |
| 14 | 8 | 0.038134 | 0.961866 | Kevin Magnussen |
| 15 | 12 | 0.030605 | 0.969395 | Esteban Ocon |
| 16 | 15 | 0.024698 | 0.975302 | Alexander Albon |
| 17 | 16 | 0.018909 | 0.981091 | Valtteri Bottas |
| 18 | 17 | 0.016014 | 0.983986 | Guanyu Zhou |
| 19 | 19 | 0.014588 | 0.985412 | Logan Sargeant |
F1-Analysis for the 2024 British Grand Prix
Track Layout / Information
Analysis for conducted using a logistic regression with 30 features for additional information about the modeling process, please send me a message on GitHub issues
Top3 Finishing Position Predictions
The table below presents odds of placing in the top 3 positions for each of the drivers in the current standings for F1.
We can see here that the top 3 predicted finishers are:
- Max Verstappen : probability of top 3 finish - 99.51%
- Sergio Perez : probability of top 3 finish - 94.51%
- Charles Leclerc : probability of top 3 finish - 63.03%